Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 6.986462 8.128925 9.362341 10.788457 12.387295 14.119806 16.134355
2025-11-30 5.391221 6.903831 8.662024 10.839232 13.444284 16.442051 20.132175
2025-12-07 4.423422 6.106750 8.178096 10.878602 14.267278 18.337748 23.551635
2025-12-14 3.773308 5.557616 7.862090 10.997890 15.088290 20.173143 26.893393
2025-12-21 3.239955 5.065413 7.529222 11.012473 15.713372 21.733073 29.904098
2025-12-28 2.912317 4.800590 7.449583 11.320172 16.697044 23.755745 33.551541
2026-01-04 2.612148 4.529716 7.320190 11.525019 17.523935 25.579728 36.984753
2026-01-11 2.315874 4.222907 7.099617 11.565425 18.100879 27.067076 40.000599
2026-01-18 1.975081 3.799883 6.659032 11.237301 18.114860 27.758059 41.932817
2026-01-25 1.703049 3.452439 6.295657 10.984584 18.203511 28.532248 43.980747
2026-02-01 1.463333 3.127398 5.932712 10.695410 18.205330 29.162055 45.824338
2026-02-08 1.263993 2.846741 5.612508 10.441885 18.233154 29.812475 47.698906
2026-02-15 1.071872 2.554591 5.246779 10.088789 18.088581 30.206549 49.226681
2026-02-22 0.966615 2.417123 5.136957 10.150069 18.595747 31.588845 52.247479
2026-03-01 0.870513 2.284193 5.020957 10.187945 19.059343 32.912616 55.212872
2026-03-08 0.794699 2.183091 4.953016 10.301039 19.645326 34.438112 58.520653
2026-03-15 0.715619 2.062813 4.835953 10.314864 20.060019 35.702531 61.458925
2026-03-22 0.674297 2.023036 4.871773 10.606584 20.954894 37.751300 65.659477
2026-03-29 0.626693 1.961271 4.857028 10.800836 21.686312 39.556610 69.524353
2026-04-05 0.569185 1.866152 4.764267 10.839157 22.142864 40.926091 72.734795
2026-04-12 0.488760 1.698297 4.500904 10.528009 21.960276 41.235686 74.262029
2026-04-19 0.423689 1.558804 4.283357 10.288427 21.888777 41.718163 76.068876
2026-04-26 0.364178 1.422718 4.058018 10.014350 21.735529 42.050526 77.631664